68.0%
picks correct
125
games graded
334
locked, not yet played
Why this page exists. Anyone can claim an accuracy number after the season.
We write each pick to an append-only ledger before the game is played, then grade it against the
final score. The tier table below is the real test: each confidence level promised a hit rate based
on 2025, and this shows what it is actually delivering in 2026.
Confidence tiers: promised vs actual
| Tier | Promised | Actual 2026 | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| TOSS-UP | 61% | 57% -4 | 20/35 |
| LEAN | 77% | 57% -20 | 24/42 |
| FAVORED | 85% | 79% -6 | 19/24 |
| STRONG | 92% | 92% +0 | 12/13 |
| HEAVY | 96% | 91% -5 | 10/11 |
Game log
| Date | Game | Our pick | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-12 | Confluence at Principia | Principia by 25 | Principia 66-6 | ✓ |
| 09-11 | Edwardsville at Belleville East | Belleville East by 1 | Edwardsville 27-0 | ✗ |
| 09-11 | Mascoutah at Belleville West | Belleville West by 4 | Mascoutah 37-23 | ✗ |
| 09-11 | Civic Memorial at Jerseyville | Jerseyville by 8 | Civic Memorial 32-29 | ✗ |
| 09-11 | Breese Central at Waterloo | Breese Central by 5 | Breese Central 44-26 | ✓ |
| 09-11 | Cahokia at St. Mary's | St. Mary's by 6 | St. Mary's 25-22 | ✓ |
| 09-11 | Centralia, Illinois at Freeburg | Freeburg by 0 | Centralia, Illinois 35-17 | ✗ |
| 09-11 | Wesclin at Dupo | Dupo by 6 | Wesclin 29-6 | ✗ |
| 09-11 | O'Fallon at East St. Louis | East St. Louis by 38 | East St. Louis 64-6 | ✓ |
| 09-11 | Hazelwood West at Fox | Fox by 18 | Fox 49-20 | ✓ |
| 09-11 | Hannibal at Troy Buchanan | Hannibal by 4 | Troy Buchanan 35-6 | ✗ |
| 09-11 | Marion at Highland | Highland by 4 | Highland 60-49 | ✓ |
| 09-11 | Mater Dei at Roxana | Roxana by 2 | Roxana 54-29 | ✓ |
| 09-11 | St. Joseph Central at Liberty (KC) | Liberty (KC) by 30 | St. Joseph Central 35-31 | ✗ |
| 09-11 | Webster Groves at Affton | Webster Groves by 2 | Webster Groves 41-6 | ✓ |
| 09-11 | Bayless at Crystal City | Crystal City by 12 | Bayless 41-8 | ✗ |
| 09-11 | Borgia at Washington | Washington by 3 | Borgia 27-21 | ✗ |
| 09-11 | CBC at De Smet | CBC by 4 | CBC 59-48 | ✓ |
| 09-11 | SLUH at Chaminade | SLUH by 7 | SLUH 13-7 | ✓ |
| 09-11 | De Soto at North County | North County by 8 | North County 35-22 | ✓ |
| 09-11 | St. Charles at Duchesne | St. Charles by 12 | St. Charles 34-12 | ✓ |
| 09-11 | Festus at Windsor (Imperial) | Festus by 34 | Festus 47-6 | ✓ |
| 09-11 | Fort Zumwalt North at Fort Zumwalt West | Fort Zumwalt North by 10 | Fort Zumwalt North 33-27 | ✓ |
| 09-11 | Francis Howell Central at Fort Zumwalt South | Fort Zumwalt South by 1 | Francis Howell Central 17-7 | ✗ |
| 09-11 | Grandview at Cuba | Grandview by 4 | Cuba 42-6 | ✗ |
| 09-11 | Summit at Hazelwood Central | Summit by 20 | Summit 63-0 | ✓ |
| 09-11 | Hazelwood East at Kirkwood | Kirkwood by 17 | Kirkwood 45-15 | ✓ |
| 09-11 | Jefferson at Herculaneum | Herculaneum by 7 | Jefferson 30-14 | ✗ |
| 09-11 | Hermann at Union | Union by 18 | Union 42-0 | ✓ |
| 09-11 | Holt at Hillsboro | Hillsboro by 14 | Hillsboro 62-33 | ✓ |
| 09-11 | St. Pius X-Kansas City at Francis Howell | St. Pius X-Kansas City by 2 | St. Pius X (KC) 42-0 | ✓ |
| 09-11 | St. Charles West at Francis Howell North | St. Charles West by 12 | St. Charles West 42-2 | ✓ |
| 09-11 | Jennings at Mehlville | Jennings by 9 | Jennings 44-21 | ✓ |
| 09-11 | Pattonville at Lafayette | Lafayette by 10 | Pattonville 26-21 | ✗ |
| 09-11 | Seckman at Lindbergh | Seckman by 6 | Seckman 21-14 | ✓ |
| 09-11 | Lutheran St. Charles at Vianney | Vianney by 16 | Vianney 78-6 | ✓ |
| 09-11 | Marquette at Ritenour | Ritenour by 14 | Marquette 42-18 | ✗ |
| 09-11 | McCluer North at Normandy | McCluer North by 20 | McCluer North 24-6 | ✓ |
| 09-11 | University City at Northwest Cedar Hill | Northwest Cedar Hill by 6 | University City 18-12 | ✗ |
| 09-11 | Pacific at St. Clair | St. Clair by 14 | St. Clair 35-28 | ✓ |
| 09-11 | Priory at St. Pius X | St. Pius X by 36 | St. Pius X (Festus) 88-0 | ✓ |
| 09-11 | St. Dominic at Warrenton | St. Dominic by 11 | St. Dominic 31-14 | ✓ |
| 09-11 | St. James at Sullivan | Sullivan by 11 | Sullivan 41-0 | ✓ |
| 09-11 | Mark Twain at Winfield | Winfield by 5 | Winfield 14-6 | ✓ |
| 09-11 | Poplar Bluff at North Point | North Point by 0 | Poplar Bluff 41-19 | ✗ |
| 09-11 | Liberty (Wentzville) at Timberland | Liberty (Wentzville) by 18 | Timberland 41-35 | ✗ |
| 09-11 | St. Vincent at Perryville | St. Vincent by 6 | St. Vincent 42-0 | ✓ |
| 09-10 | Parkway South at Clayton | Parkway South by 21 | Parkway South 54-6 | ✓ |
| 09-10 | Westminster at John Burroughs | John Burroughs by 2 | Westminster 34-0 | ✗ |
| 09-10 | Eureka at Parkway North | Eureka by 7 | Eureka 40-14 | ✓ |
| 09-10 | Lutheran South at MICDS | MICDS by 35 | MICDS 64-16 | ✓ |
| 09-10 | Riverview Gardens at Ladue | Ladue by 31 | Ladue 21-0 | ✓ |
| 09-10 | Oakville at McCluer | Oakville by 20 | Oakville 42-16 | ✓ |
| 09-10 | Orchard Farm at Fort Zumwalt East | Orchard Farm by 13 | Fort Zumwalt East 33-28 | ✗ |
| 09-10 | Parkway West at Parkway Central | Parkway West by 16 | Parkway West 43-0 | ✓ |
| 09-10 | Ste. Genevieve at Miller Career | Ste. Genevieve by 23 | Ste. Genevieve 63-8 | ✓ |
| 09-05 | Miller Career at Gateway STEM | Gateway STEM by 16 | Gateway STEM 38-14 | ✓ |
| 09-05 | McCluer at McCluer North | McCluer North by 10 | McCluer North 12-0 | ✓ |
| 09-05 | Normandy at Riverview Gardens | Riverview Gardens by 7 | Riverview Gardens 20-12 | ✓ |
| 09-04 | Belleville East at Althoff | Belleville East by 3 | Belleville East 54-14 | ✓ |